🐘 Stock Market Elephant/Writing

Superseded on November 8, 2026. Three days in, I replaced this test with the $20k test: one indicator, one instrument, two months, $20,000. This page stays exactly as it was written on November 6; nothing below has been edited since.

The $2,400 test

The $2,400 test: scoreboard

A prop payout, a break-even indicator, 60 days, one change a week. Scoreboard written November 6. Updated every Sunday.

This is the page I update. Every Sunday at 19:00 Eastern the numbers below change. Nothing else on it does.

MyFundedFutures paid me $2,400 in early November, 80% of a $3,000 payout. It sits in its own bank account. Less than $2,000 of it may be spent on funded accounts. For 60 days, November 6, 2026 to January 5, 2027, I trade my setup indicator by hand and change it once a week at most. In January I read the scoreboard out, good or bad.

Four tiles, one per check, as of November 6, 2026. Money: $0 spent on funded accounts, no accounts bought. Discipline: 0 off-plan trades of 0 trades. Edge: n = 0, no average yet. The loop: 0 changes kept of 0 tested.
Day 1. Every reading is zero, and so is n.

New posts land on Substack first. Free, one a week. The $2,400 test has a scoreboard, updated every Sunday.

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The four checks, written November 6

The checks were fixed before the first trade. The Substack post of November 6, 2026 is the public record of the scoreboard; its publish timestamp is the date, and the table below is copied from it unchanged.

A table with four checks and a verdict. Money: did I spend less than $2,000 of the $2,400 on funded accounts? Discipline: did my off-plan trades go down week by week? Edge: did my live A+ trades average better than zero after costs, against an all-day backtest of about zero? The loop: did every change I kept hold up on the new live trades? Verdict: all four yes is a yes; spending the full $2,000 is a no, whatever the rest says.
All four is a yes. Spending the full $2,000 is a no, whatever the rest says.

One thing to know about the third check. In the 9:30 to 11:00 window I expect one or two A+ signals a week. Over 60 days that is somewhere between 10 and 20 trades, far too few to tell skill from noise. So Edge is the weakest check by design. The primary outcome is Discipline and whether the loop holds. If the edge number comes in positive I will say so, and say how few trades it rests on.

The days

Calendar of the 60 days from November 6, 2026 to January 5, 2027, day 1 shaded as done. Fridays carry the week number, Saturdays are marked note, Sundays readout; Thanksgiving, Christmas and New Year's Day are closed.
Forty trading mornings, nine weekends, three holidays. Friday closes a week, Saturday brings the change proposal, Sunday the readout.

The money

The $2,400 buys MyFundedFutures Pro 50K evaluations. As of November 7, 2026 an eval costs $159 on promo and $265 at the regular price. The target is $3,000 against a $2,000 end-of-day trailing max loss, with no daily loss limit and a 50% consistency rule that applies in the eval only. Once funded, the first payout comes 14 days after the first trade, once the account is $2,100 above its start; $1,000 minimum, an 80/20 split, and a cap of 3 micros.

Horizontal bar of the $2,400 bankroll. Spent segments in red from the left, none yet; $2,000 left before the cap; a red dashed line at $2,000 labelled the cap; the last $400 marked not for evals.
Each account I buy becomes a red segment. The red line at $2,000 is where the test ends as a no.

The tally

From the journal, checked at 22:07 Eastern on November 6.

Trading mornings so far: 1 of 40. A+ signals: 0. Trades: 0 (n = 0). Off-plan trades: 0 of 0. Changes proposed: 0, kept: 0. Spent: $0 on 0 accounts.

Day one was a wiring test. The grader ran with no model behind it, so there are no real grades yet either. The first real signals come when the market opens on Monday.

The indicator

Vertical timeline of indicator versions. v1.2, October 2026: five checks, A+ setups only, stop up to 1.0 times ATR. v1.4, November 6, 2026, on the chart now: six checks, every bar graded A+, B or no trade, stop up to 1.1 times ATR, sends the setup to the grader. Then two hollow dots: the next version, if any, one change a week kept only on unseen trades; and day 60, January 5, 2027.
v1.4 is the version the test starts from. Anything after it has to earn its place on trades it has never seen.

The changelog

Every change goes here with the test I wrote before it ran and the verdict after. A week with no change is fine. A change without a written test is not allowed.

Table of nine weeks, November 6 to January 3, with columns for the change proposed, its test, the verdict and whether it was kept. Every row reads not yet.
Nine weekends, nine rows. Nothing proposed yet.

The rules

The hard rules do not move for the test: $1,000 max loss per account per day, 5 MNQ max per trade, done at 11:00. The indicator and the grader advise. I click every order.

What counts as a yes is all four checks. Spending the full $2,000 is a no. In between, I say which parts worked.

I will not redraw the scoreboard, add a fifth check, or extend past January 5.

How to follow

  1. Sunday, 19:00 Eastern: the week's readout as a post. Week N of 9, the five numbers with n, one chart, the change proposed and its test, what I got wrong.
  2. Saturday: the change proposal as a Note, with the test that would reject it, before it runs.
  3. The verdict on last week's change goes out as a Note the Saturday after.
  4. This page carries the running totals. The Substack post of November 6 carries the scoreboard as it was written.

Next: The loop: one 15-minute bar in, one indicator change out

New posts land on Substack first. Free, one a week. The $2,400 test has a scoreboard, updated every Sunday.

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Educational content, not financial advice. I trade my own accounts; nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell anything. No affiliation with any prop firm named. Futures involve substantial risk of loss.